Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg3 - 1Auxerre
We said: Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre
Away from home, Auxerre are far too passive and dependent on their goalkeeper Donovan Leon, so we believe an in-form Strasbourg side should be able to take advantage of that this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Auxerre |
39.42% ( 0.37) | 24.92% ( -0.05) | 35.65% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
