Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Troyes |
52.46% ( 0.02) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 22.56% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% ( 0.04) | 52.74% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% ( 0.03) | 74.38% ( -0.04) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 0.02) | 20.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.66% ( 0.04) | 52.33% ( -0.04) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.68% ( 0.02) | 38.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% ( 0.02) | 75.07% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.46% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 33 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
5 | Lyon | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
6 | Nice | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Reims | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Brest | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Rennes | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |