The Match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Troyes 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain
As injuries and off-field chaos threaten to completely derail their title bid, a ravaged PSG side will be far from their free-flowing best at the Stade de l'Aube, but victory should still be theirs. While results around them going in their favour might see Troyes live to fight another day, Kisnorbo's confidence-depleted crop could and should have lost by more against Nice had it not been for a determined Gallon, who can still feel hopeful of restricting the faltering champions to just the one goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.8% ( -0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.12) | 75.77% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0.56) | 29.63% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.25% ( 0.67) | 50.75% ( -0.66) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.45% ( 0.35) | 40.55% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.85% ( 0.32) | 77.15% ( -0.31) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.51% ( 0.16) | 6.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.41) | 24.26% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.8% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.43% | 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 8.97% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.3% Total : 75.77% |
