Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Chaban Delmas
Bordeaux2 - 3Lille
We said: Bordeaux 1-2 Lille
Earlier this season, Bordeaux may have fancied their chances of beating a struggling Lille outfit, but with Les Dogues now enjoying a stronger run of form across all competitions, Wednesday's hosts are set to face a much tougher challenge. Lille might not secure another comfortable three-goal victory as they did last season, but they should have enough quality in their side to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lille |
| 36.55% | 25% | 38.44% |
| Both teams to score 57.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
