Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
We said: Lille 3-0 Ajaccio
Ajaccio may have held their own with 10 men against a shot-shy Brest, but a Lille side out to right the wrongs of last weekend should encounter few roadblocks en route to a dominant win.
With Golden Boot chaser David spearheading Lille's prolific period of home form, we can only picture Fonseca's men remaining in control of their continental destiny, with a few goals along the way.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 79.41% . A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.56% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (11.42%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%) , while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.64%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result Lille Draw Ajaccio 79.41% ( -0.03) 14.03% ( 0.04) 6.56% ( -0)
Both teams to score 40.45% ( -0.13)
59.65% ( -0.17) 40.35% ( 0.17)
37.27% ( -0.17) 62.73% ( 0.17)
91.86% ( -0.05) 8.14% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 71.45% ( -0.12) 28.55% ( 0.12)
44.04% ( -0.12) 55.96% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 11.55% ( -0.07) 88.45% ( 0.07)
Lille 79.41%
Ajaccio 6.56%
Draw 14.03%
Lille Draw Ajaccio 2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 79.41% 1-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 14.03% 0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 6.56%
How you voted: Lille vs Ajaccio
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rhs 2.0
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