MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:53:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
AC Ajaccio

Lille
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Gomes (22', 33'), Cabella (37')
David (29')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Soumano (28'), Spadanuda (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Lille
Saturday, April 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Brest
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 3-0 Ajaccio

Ajaccio may have held their own with 10 men against a shot-shy Brest, but a Lille side out to right the wrongs of last weekend should encounter few roadblocks en route to a dominant win. With Golden Boot chaser David spearheading Lille's prolific period of home form, we can only picture Fonseca's men remaining in control of their continental destiny, with a few goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawAjaccio
79.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 14.03% (0.035 0.04) 6.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Both teams to score 40.45% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65% (-0.169 -0.17)40.35% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27% (-0.174 -0.17)62.73% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.86% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)8.14% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.45% (-0.117 -0.12)28.55% (0.115 0.12)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.04% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)55.96% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)88.45% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lille 79.41%
    Ajaccio 6.56%
    Draw 14.03%
LilleDrawAjaccio
2-0 @ 14.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 79.41%
1-1 @ 6.63% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 14.03%
0-1 @ 2.64% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 6.56%

How you voted: Lille vs Ajaccio

Lille
92.6%
Draw
0.0%
Ajaccio
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 8pm
gameweek 4
Ajaccio
1-3
Lille
Bayala (84')
Mangani (71'), Gonzalez (73'), Bayala (86')
Yazici (17'), Bamba (43'), Djalo (67')
Diakite (51'), Zhegrova (57')
Mar 2, 2014 1pm
Ajaccio
2-3
Lille
Tallo (1', 42')
Cavalli (24'), Tallo (72'), Hengbart (74')
Kalou (25' pen., 38', 74')
Gana Gueye (45'), Origi (67')
Soumaoro (81')
Oct 5, 2013 7pm
Feb 23, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
1-3
Lille
Poulard (38' og.), Payet (67', 74')
Balmont (39')
Digne (61')
Oct 6, 2012 7pm
Lille
2-0
Ajaccio
Mendes (56'), Roux (42')
De Melo (59'), Balmont (66')

Mutu (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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