Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Brest |
33.34% ( -0.18) | 28.89% ( -0.06) | 37.76% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 45% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.41% ( 0.16) | 61.59% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.56% ( 0.12) | 81.43% ( -0.12) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% ( -0.04) | 34.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( -0.04) | 71.05% ( 0.04) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% ( 0.22) | 31.44% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% ( 0.26) | 67.82% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |