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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Rennes

Lille
2 - 2
Rennes

Weah (11', 88')
Andre (25'), Sanches (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bourigeaud (41'), Guirassy (90+2')
Truffert (43'), Omari (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-2 Rennes

Lille's squad suddenly has a fuller feel to it as the trio of Sanches, Botman and Andre return from bans, but a somewhat makeshift XI still needed no second invitation to ease past Nice. Rennes' ongoing defensive woes on the road is also a welcome statistic for the hosts, but the final third is where Genesio's side continue to excel, and we can only picture Les Rouge et Noir ending the season on top to take the Champions League race right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawRennes
40.13% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 26.46% (-0.148 -0.15) 33.41% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.29% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.625 0.63)52.46% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.534 0.53)74.14% (-0.536 -0.54)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.306 0.31)25.69% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.414 0.41)60.61% (-0.416 -0.42)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (0.38199999999999 0.38)29.63% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (0.462 0.46)65.68% (-0.465 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lille 40.12%
    Rennes 33.41%
    Draw 26.45%
LilleDrawRennes
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.41%

How you voted: Lille vs Rennes

Lille
Draw
Rennes
Lille
21.7%
Draw
18.8%
Rennes
59.4%
69
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Rennes
1-2
Lille
Bourigeaud (85')
Martin (65'), Genesio (81'), Genesio (82'), Meling (90+1')
Xeka (31'), Sanches (45')
Mandava (89')
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
Rennes
0-1
Lille

N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (22'), Grenier (40')
David (16')
Celik (34'), Andre (90+1')
Aug 22, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-1
Rennes
Bamba (40')
Mandava (43')
Da Silva (74')
Tait (88')
Boey (35')
Feb 4, 2020 6pm
Lille
1-0
Rennes
Remy (4')
Ikone (44'), Remy (56'), Sanches (83')

Traore (54')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Rennes
1-1
Lille
Hunou (68')
Raphinha (5'), Mendy (42')
Jonathan Ikone (47')
Celik (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2MonacoMonaco31167858362255
3Marseille30174962422055
4Lyon31166962422054
5Nice31159759392054
6StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
7Lille30158747321553
8Lens30136113533245
9Brest30135124849-144
10Rennes31122174644238
11Auxerre30108124145-438
12Toulouse3097143839-134
13Reims3088143242-1032
14NantesNantes30710133550-1531
15Angers3086162948-1930
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3043232271-4915


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