Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%).