Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille3 - 1St Etienne
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 54.04% | 25.1% | 20.86% |
| Both teams to score 46.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% | 54.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% | 76.24% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% | 20.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.28% | 52.72% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.18% | 77.82% |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 54.03%
Saint-Etienne 20.86%
Draw 25.09%
| Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5% 4-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.86% |
How you voted: Marseille vs St Etienne
Marseille
86.5%Draw
7.7%Saint-Etienne
5.8%52
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 36
St Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Sep 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
Marseille
0-2
St Etienne
Form Guide
