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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
4 - 0
Strasbourg

Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sissoko (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg

 Marseille's levels of creative ingenuity and attacking incisiveness decrease dramatically when Payet is not on the pitch, and Strasbourg would do well to capitalise on this opportunity at a ground where the hosts have not enjoyed a strong period of success. That being said, Stephan's side have not dominated many games in recent memory and have developed an affinity for draws on the road, so we can envisage this battle ending all square as Marseille clinch a top-three spot, while Strasbourg will nervously learn of results elsewhere. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
49.05% (1.552 1.55) 25.2% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 25.75% (-1.496 -1.5)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-1.074 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.808 -0.81)50.9% (0.805 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (-0.713 -0.71)72.78% (0.71000000000001 0.71)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.336 0.34)20.77% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.529 0.53)53.41% (-0.532 -0.53)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (-1.642 -1.64)34.44% (1.638 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-1.787 -1.79)71.15% (1.784 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 49.05%
    Strasbourg 25.75%
    Draw 25.19%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.458 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.05%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.75%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
62.5%
Draw
26.4%
Strasbourg
11.1%
72
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Strasbourg
0-2
Marseille

Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Benedetto (86')
Rongier (55'), Lirola (81'), Milik (90+2'), Gueye (90+3')
Mitrovic (73')
Kone (53'), Diallo (85')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Strasbourg
0-1
Marseille
Sanson (72')
Amavi (52'), Kamara (58'), Khaoui (87'), Mandanda (89')
May 2, 2020 7pm
Strasbourg
P-P
Marseille
Jan 29, 2020 8.05pm
Marseille
3-1
Strasbourg
Sarr (32'), Payet (43' pen.), Kamara (95')
Lopez (57')
Corgnet (59')
Mitrovic (18'), Simakan (92')
N'Dour (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
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6pm
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@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
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Eagles
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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