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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Marseille

Lorient
0 - 3
Marseille


Lemoine (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 0-1 Marseille

 Without the effervescent Payet leading the charge, Marseille's chances of a goal-laden showing have taken a major hit, while the midweek fatigue could certainly work against them as well. However, if Lorient are to sacrifice an attacker for a more defensively-minded setup, breaking down the Olympiens backline will be a tall order for Pelissier's side, who may fall just short in Marseille's most winnable game left. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
27.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 48.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)45.16% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)67.5% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.13% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)50.07% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 27.36%
    Marseille 48.53%
    Draw 24.11%
LorientDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.36%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 48.53%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
14.5%
Draw
10.9%
Marseille
74.5%
55
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Marseille
2-0
Lorient
Cabella (19'), Gomis (70')
Hubocan (48')

Toure (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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