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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
AC Ajaccio

Montpellier
2 - 0
Ajaccio

Nordin (28'), Wahi (77')
Ferri (42'), Sacko (52')
Omlin (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamouma (20'), Gonzalez (72'), Spadanuda (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Lille
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Ajaccio

Montpellier will be in supremely confident mood after beating Brest 7-0 in the weekend, and we think that they will cruise past an Ajaccio side, who are winless in their opening four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawAjaccio
45.8% (0.023999999999994 0.02) 26.84% (-0.029 -0.03) 27.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.76% (0.10899999999999 0.11)56.23% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)77.28% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.5% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (0.082999999999998 0.08)58.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (0.064 0.06)36% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.77% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 45.8%
    Ajaccio 27.35%
    Draw 26.84%
Montpellier HSCDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Ajaccio

Montpellier HSC
84.1%
Draw
4.5%
Ajaccio
11.4%
44
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2014 7pm
Feb 22, 2014 7pm
Montpellier
2-0
Ajaccio
Mounier (55'), Cabella (90')
Deplagne (76')

Tonucci (82')
Sep 29, 2013 4pm
Ajaccio
1-1
Montpellier
Zubar (36')
Zubar (24'), Popescu (56')
Goncalves (9')
Cabella (10' pen.)
Jebbour (18'), Camara (62')
Jebbour (38')
Apr 27, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Montpellier
Oliech (90'), Delorte (82' pen.)
Mutu (17'), Lasne (73')
Diawara (47')
Mounier (56')
Belhanda (60')
El Kaoutari (81')
Dec 8, 2012 7pm
Montpellier
3-0
Ajaccio
Utaka (28'), Belhanda (67'), Cabella (32')
Pitau (16')

Bouhours (23'), Faty (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1777226161028
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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