Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Ajaccio | 2 | -1 | 1 |
17 | Rennes | 2 | -1 | 1 |
18 | Auxerre | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Strasbourg | 2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ajaccio | 2 | -1 | 1 |
17 | Rennes | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 8.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Ajaccio |
72.87% ( 0.19) | 18.27% ( -0.09) | 8.85% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 37.69% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( 0.05) | 50.84% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( 0.04) | 72.72% ( -0.04) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.46% ( 0.07) | 12.54% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.43% ( 0.14) | 38.57% ( -0.14) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.09% ( -0.19) | 56.91% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.01% ( -0.11) | 88.99% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Ajaccio |
2-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 14.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 72.86% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.27% | 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 8.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |