Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Bordeaux |
39.07% | 25.64% | 35.29% |
Both teams to score 55.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% | 48.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% | 70.8% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% | 24.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% | 59.01% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% | 26.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% | 61.89% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Bordeaux |
1-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |