Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
35.82% ( -0.81) | 26.54% ( 0.13) | 37.63% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 52.38% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.49% ( -0.55) | 52.5% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( -0.48) | 74.17% ( 0.48) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( -0.74) | 28.15% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( -0.95) | 63.83% ( 0.95) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( 0.13) | 27.09% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% ( 0.17) | 62.47% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |