Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
35.82% ( -0.81) | 26.54% ( 0.13) | 37.63% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 52.38% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.49% ( -0.55) | 52.5% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( -0.48) | 74.17% ( 0.48) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( -0.74) | 28.15% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( -0.95) | 63.83% ( 0.95) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( 0.13) | 27.09% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% ( 0.17) | 62.47% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |