Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
49.34% ( -0.01) | 22.59% ( -0) | 28.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.75% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.43% ( 0.01) | 37.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.2% ( 0.01) | 59.8% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( 0) | 15.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% ( 0) | 44.46% ( -0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( 0.01) | 25.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% ( 0.02) | 60.64% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |