Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
49.34% ( -0.01) | 22.59% ( -0) | 28.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.75% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.43% ( 0.01) | 37.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.2% ( 0.01) | 59.8% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( 0) | 15.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% ( 0) | 44.46% ( -0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( 0.01) | 25.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% ( 0.02) | 60.64% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |