Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
62.35% ( -3.52) | 21.1% ( 1.02) | 16.54% ( 2.5) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( 2.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.05% ( 0.47) | 44.95% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.69% ( 0.45) | 67.31% ( -0.45) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.16% ( -0.9) | 13.83% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.8% ( -1.81) | 41.2% ( 1.81) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.61% ( 3.68) | 40.38% ( -3.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23% ( 3.17) | 77% ( -3.18) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.6) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -1) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.92) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.59) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.81% Total : 62.34% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.49) Other @ 1% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |