Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Reims had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Lens |
30.52% ( 0.02) | 25.49% ( 0.01) | 43.99% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.68% ( -0.02) | 49.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% ( -0.02) | 71.38% ( 0.02) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( 0) | 30% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.88% ( 0) | 66.12% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% ( -0.02) | 22.37% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.13% ( -0.03) | 55.87% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |