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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Lyon

Toulouse
1 - 2
Lyon

Gboho (14')
Donnum (58'), Casseres Jr (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nicolaisen (28' og.), Fofana (90+5')
Veretout (10'), Caleta-Car (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon

 Winning just one of their opening five matches, Toulouse are struggling to reach the heights that they managed last term, and we expect that storyline to strengthen on Sunday. Lyon are getting a number of key attacking players back to full fitness and should be confident of recording consecutive wins to conclude a productive week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
ToulouseDrawLyon
36.69% (-0.363 -0.36) 25.69% (0.115 0.11) 37.62% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.32% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.52 -0.52)48.78% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.472 -0.47)70.88% (0.473 0.47)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.444 -0.44)25.88% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.605 -0.61)60.86% (0.604 0.6)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)25.36% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.142 -0.14)60.16% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.69%
    Lyon 37.62%
    Draw 25.69%
ToulouseDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 9% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.62%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lyon

Toulouse
24.6%
Draw
18.0%
Lyon
57.4%
61
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Dallinga (53'), Sierro (59' pen.)
Spierings (43'), Donnum (45+2')
Lacazette (33'), Cherki (77'), O'Brien (81')
Tolisso (37'), Mata (45+1')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 15
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
Lacazette (25', 29', 80')
Diawara (68'), Moreira (87')

Magri (25'), Sierro (41'), Donnum (63'), Diarra (79')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Toulouse
1-2
Lyon
Aboukhlal (37')
Lacazette (34' pen.), Costa (88' og.)
> Preview
Oct 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lyon
1-1
Toulouse
Tete (2')
Ratao (67')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
Cornet (29'), Dembele (71'), Toko Ekambi (77')

Vainqueur (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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