Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Lyon0 - 2Monaco
We said: Lyon 1-2 Monaco
Last week's defeat at Rennes suggests Lyon's new faces need more time to bed in, and they could struggle against one of Ligue 1's strongest outfits. With a much more settled side, Monaco could take advantage here to make it two wins from two with a real statement victory on the road against a side still in transition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
47.8% ( 0.16) | 22.4% ( -0.05) | 29.81% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
