MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:48:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
PSG logo

Toulouse
0 - 3
PSG


Ratao (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toulouse 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

We are only four matches into the new campaign, and already it looks as though les Parisiens will run away with the Ligue 1 title, so we do not expect the newly promoted Toulouse to give them any difficulties on Wednesday. Les Pitchouns have lost five straight top-flight fixtures versus PSG, scoring only once in their last six games against them, while they have conceded four goals or more in two of the previous five encounters versus Les Rouge et Bleu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
24.55% (0.233 0.23) 22.73% (0.196 0.2) 52.72% (-0.435 -0.44)
Both teams to score 58.8% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.684 -0.68)41.26% (0.678 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.698 -0.7)63.65% (0.691 0.69)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (-0.182 -0.18)30.24% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.218 -0.22)66.41% (0.211 0.21)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.395 -0.39)15.7% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23% (-0.73 -0.73)44.76% (0.722 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 24.55%
    Paris Saint-Germain 52.72%
    Draw 22.73%
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.29% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.4% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.55%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.152 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.78% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.72%

How you voted: Toulouse vs PSG

Toulouse
8.8%
Draw
5.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
85.7%
91
Head to Head
May 9, 2020 7pm
Aug 25, 2019 8pm
Nov 24, 2018 4pm
Feb 10, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
0-1
PSG

Jean (40'), Gradel (41'), Sanogo (45'), Yago (59')
Neymar (68')
Rabiot (20'), Diarra (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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