Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
19.71% | 22.01% | 58.28% |
Both teams to score 54.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.14% | 43.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% | 66.24% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% | 36.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% | 72.91% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% | 14.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.02% | 42.98% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 5.43% 2-1 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.71% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-3 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 6.23% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 3.03% 0-4 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.55% 1-5 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.73% Total : 58.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |