Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Rennes |
24.72% | 25.5% | 49.78% |
Both teams to score 50.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% | 52.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.48% | 74.52% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% | 36.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% | 73.21% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% | 21.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% | 54.2% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.83% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.59% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.72% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-2 @ 9.28% 1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 4.79% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |