Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Troyes |
34.49% | 27.78% | 37.73% |
Both teams to score 48.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.5% | 57.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.71% | 78.29% |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% | 31.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% | 67.83% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% | 29.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% | 65.42% |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |