Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (13.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.