Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Metz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nimes 0-0 Bastia
Saturday, September 10 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, September 10 at 6pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Paris FC | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Bastia | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Annecy | 8 | 0 | 9 |
Last Game: Metz 3-6 Guingamp
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Valenciennes | 8 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Metz | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Dijon | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Metz |
37.79% ( 2.11) | 28.9% ( 0.39) | 33.31% ( -2.51) |
| Both teams to score 44.99% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.39% ( -1.51) | 61.6% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( -1.14) | 81.44% ( 1.13) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0.56) | 31.44% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.18% ( 0.65) | 67.81% ( -0.66) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( -2.47) | 34.38% ( 2.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.91% ( -2.73) | 71.08% ( 2.72) |
| Score Analysis |
Bastia 37.78%
Metz 33.3%
Draw 28.89%
| Bastia | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.46)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.3% |
How you voted: Bastia vs Metz
Bastia
46.2%Draw
38.5%Metz
15.4%13
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2017 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Cohade (45'), Niguette (52')
Feb 7, 2015 7pm
