Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Niort had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.