Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.