Ligue 2 | Gameweek 14

Nov 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
3 - 2
St Etienne

Krasso (18' og.), N'Doram (39'), Udol (60')
Kouyate (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wadji (24'), Nade (90+4')
Macon (20'), Giraudon (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Saint-Etienne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 2-0 Metz
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Amiens 0-1 St Etienne
Saturday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Saint-Etienne
43.8% ( 0.97)	26.14% ( -0.23)	30.05% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 52.02% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

0.65)

52.23% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

0.56)

73.94% (

-0.55)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

0.76)

23.72% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16% (

1.09)

57.84% (

-1.08)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

-0.19)

31.81% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

-0.22)

68.25% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Metz 43.8%

Saint-Etienne 30.05%

Draw 26.14%

Metz	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.8% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.05%