Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.