Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.