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Austin FC
MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals
Oct 24, 2022 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
FC Dallas

Austin
2 - 1
Dallas

Djitte (26'), Driussi (29')
Cascante (59'), Rigoni (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Velasco (65')
Quignon (28'), Hedges (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's MLS Playoffs clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Salt Lake (3-1 pen.)
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in MLS Playoffs

Dallas

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Minnesota Utd (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Austin FC 1-2 Dallas

 Both sides showed their strengths and weaknesses in the opening round of the playoffs, but overall, we believe the visitors' experience and compact defending will be able to hold off a dangerous Austin side, who give away a lot on the back end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawDallas
58.66% (1.426 1.43) 20.95% (-0.426 -0.43) 20.4% (-0.997 -1)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.02% (0.633 0.63)37.97% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (0.673 0.67)60.23% (-0.67 -0.67)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (0.625 0.63)12.71% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.07% (1.274 1.27)38.93% (-1.271 -1.27)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.566 -0.57)32.04% (0.57 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.648 -0.65)68.51% (0.65100000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 58.66%
    Dallas 20.4%
    Draw 20.95%
Austin FCDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.166 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.165 0.17)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.19 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.1 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 58.66%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
24.1%
Draw
41.4%
TBC
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 2am
Dallas
1-1
Austin
Arriola (42')
Velasco (70')
Fagundez (79')
Felipe (90+6')
Jun 26, 2022 2am
Austin
2-2
Dallas
Driussi (72'), Hoesen (85')
Jimenez (10'), Gabrielsen (20'), Felipe (45+1')
Arriola (60'), Servania (68')
Antonio Martinez (82')
Oct 31, 2021 1am
Dallas
2-1
Austin
Ferreira (38'), Jara (80')
Twumasi (23'), Cerrillo (48')
Fagundez (36')
Romana (14'), Stuver (72'), Fagundez (83')
Jimenez (58')
Aug 30, 2021 1am
Austin
3-5
Dallas
Cascante (13'), Fagundez (59'), Ring (68')
Lima (25')
Ferreira (5', 38'), Pepi (36', 40'), Obrian (53')
Schon (17'), Elmedkhar (84')
Aug 8, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
Austin
Hollingshead (50'), Ferreira (63')
Bressan (42'), Jara (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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