We said: Austin FC 2-1 Real Salt Lake
The Verde and Black are especially deadly on their home field, scoring 18 goals in their last five matches played at Q2 Stadium.
Regardless of how healthy Driussi is, we expect their backline will not be too troubled by an RSL attack who are not nearly as potent or dynamic as Austin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.