

Austin3 - 4Earthquakes
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
38.17% | 22.96% | 38.87% |
Both teams to score 65.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.39% | 35.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.33% | 57.67% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% | 19.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% | 50.9% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% | 18.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.63% | 50.37% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.46% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-1 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.57% Total : 38.87% |