Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
1 - 0
Toronto

Zardes (90+1')
Pereira (28'), Finlay (37'), Ring (75'), Djeffal (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Servania (35'), Franklin (53'), Kaye (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Austin FC 1-0 Toronto

The Verde and Black should feel pretty confident following their victory on Wednesday, and given all the uncertainty in Toronto at the moment, not just with their form but the health of multiple key players, it is hard to envision the Reds miraculously turn things around so quickly.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Toronto
59.78% ( 0.04)	21.31% ( -0.02)	18.91% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.41% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.09% (

0.06)

41.91% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.69% (

0.06)

64.31% (

-0.06)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36% (

0.03)

13.64% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.19% (

0.07)

40.81% (

-0.06)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16% (

0.02)

35.83% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39% (

0.02)

72.61% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 59.78%

Toronto 18.91%

Draw 21.31%

Austin FC	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 59.78%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 18.91%