Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.