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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Charlotte FC
2 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Bender (45+4'), Jones (90+1')
Afful (22'), Ortiz (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Klimala (44'), Yearwood (45+3'), Clark (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-1 Charlotte FC
Monday, May 30 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls

It has been an emotional couple of weeks for the players and fans in Charlotte, and we expect to see a highly motivated and well-organised home team this weekend, eager to turn the page and use this turmoil as a rallying cry moving forward. That should give them a psychological edge over a side who are extremely dangerous in the final third but have gone winless in their last two MLS road contests. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
31.77% (0.336 0.34) 26.41% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 41.83% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.153 -0.15)52.67% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-0.132 -0.13)74.31% (0.13499999999999 0.13)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.154 0.15)30.83% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.18 0.18)67.11% (-0.178 -0.18)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)24.89% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.379 -0.38)59.51% (0.381 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 31.77%
    New York Red Bulls 41.82%
    Draw 26.4%
Charlotte FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 41.82%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs NY Red Bulls

Charlotte FC
34.1%
Draw
36.4%
New York Red Bulls
29.5%
44
rhs 2.0
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