We said: Charlotte FC 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps
These are the two lowest-scoring teams in their respective conferences, with both sides lacking imagination and flair while also struggling to provide quality service to their attacking threats.
Having a whole week off, combined with over 30,000 fans in your corner, should be enough for the Crown to collect another three points at home against a Whitecaps team who have lost all five of their road contests this year by a combined score of 14-3.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.