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Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Dallas
0 - 1
Cincinnati


Norris (58'), Ibeagha (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orellano (47')
Kubo (18'), Powell (56'), Yedlin (61'), Kelsy (65'), Celentano (88'), Acosta (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 3-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 FC Cincinnati

 Sunday's game promises to be an intriguing one, and while FC Cincinnati have enjoyed the far stronger season thus far, their hosts are gaining confidence and improving under new management. The hosts' encouraging run, combined with a growing list of absentees for the Orange and Blue, could result in a share of the spoils in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawFC Cincinnati
35.71% (-0.061 -0.06) 24.08% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.2% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)41.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)63.83% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.03% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)56.84% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.78% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)53.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 35.71%
    FC Cincinnati 40.2%
    Draw 24.08%
DallasDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Dallas vs Cincinnati

Dallas
34.0%
Draw
31.9%
FC Cincinnati
34.0%
47
Head to Head
Jun 28, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 25
Cincinnati
P-P
Dallas
Sep 1, 2019 1am
Gameweek 34
Dallas
3-1
Cincinnati
Hollingshead (12'), Barrios (49'), Ondrasek (51')
Hedges (37'), Badji (60'), Cannon (62'), Acosta (85')
Ledesma (64' pen.)
Gutman (65'), Ledesma (73')
Manneh (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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