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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
FC Dallas

Seattle
3 - 2
Dallas

Ruidiaz (78'), Morris (88', 90+4')
Vargas (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Delgado (66'), Musa (70')
Musa (28'), Sealy (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Seattle
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Dallas

With both teams on an upward curve, we expect a competitive encounter to play out on Saturday night. Goals were scored at each end in their respective most recent fixtures, and more of the same could occur at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawDallas
61.87% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 16.39% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 49% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.05% (0.167 0.17)47.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (0.156 0.16)70.13% (-0.158 -0.16)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.037999999999997 0.04)14.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.61% (0.079000000000001 0.08)43.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (0.174 0.17)42.38% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.24% (0.152 0.15)78.76% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 61.86%
    Dallas 16.39%
    Draw 21.75%
Seattle SoundersDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 61.86%
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.75%
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.39%

How you voted: Seattle vs Dallas

Seattle Sounders
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Dallas
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
Nov 11, 2023 3am
Nov 5, 2023 1am
Dallas
3-1
Seattle
Arriola (6'), Ferreira (18' pen.), Obrian (89')
Arriola (30'), Pomykal (60'), Illarramendi (72')
Morris (48')
Tolo (10'), Gomez Andrade (21'), Atencio (52')
Oct 31, 2023 1am
Seattle
2-0
Dallas
Rusnak (43' pen.), Morris (74')
Ragen (52')

Ferreira (45+3'), Burgess (81')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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