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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Vazquez (50'), Brenner (55'), Barreal (71')
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aaronson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati fans are sick of the sight of stalemates now, but most would most likely accept a draw versus the Eastern Conference leaders, whose penchant for goals should become apparent here. Carving their way through a leaky Orange and Blue backline should be an easy ask for the Union, who also have the defensive nous to end the hosts' unbeaten run at the TQL Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
36.03% (0.067 0.07) 25.46% (0.155 0.16) 38.51% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (-0.696 -0.7)47.8% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (-0.645 -0.65)69.99% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.286 -0.29)25.8% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.389 -0.39)60.75% (0.387 0.39)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)24.43% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (-0.615 -0.62)58.86% (0.613 0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 36.03%
    Philadelphia Union 38.51%
    Draw 25.45%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.51%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
14.3%
Draw
9.5%
Philadelphia Union
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Cincinnati
Bedoya (17')
Burke (64')
Vazquez (39')
Medunjanin (55'), Nwobodo (57'), Hagglund (62'), Nelson (68')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
Oct 10, 2021 1am
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Cincinnati
Ilsinho (59'), Bedoya (73'), Elliott (80')
Bedoya (40'), McKenzie (66'), Mbaizo (90+3')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Philadelphia

Gyau (19'), Waston (47'), Medunjanin (63'), Amaya (90+4')

Bedoya (60'), Przybylko (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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