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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
2 - 1
New England

Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bou (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 4-2 New England
Saturday, July 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

 Expect the Revs to be in a foul mood after the way they lost their previous encounter, though the Union are well-equipped to handle their dangerous attacking players as they are perhaps the most structurally sound team in the league and, at the moment, are firing on all cylinders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
53.76% (-0.685 -0.68) 23.5% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 22.73% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 54% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.249 0.25)46.61% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.235 0.23)68.88% (-0.238 -0.24)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.158 -0.16)17.26% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.272 -0.27)47.58% (0.267 0.27)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (0.685 0.69)34.74% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (0.719 0.72)71.47% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.76%
    New England Revolution 22.73%
    Draw 23.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.73%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
New England Revolution
15.4%
26
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
Nov 25, 2020 1am
Philadelphia
0-2
New England

Przybylko (36'), Wagner (73')
Buksa (26'), Buchanan (30')
Polster (88')
rhs 2.0
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