Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.