Los Angeles3 - 2Earthquakes
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 14 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
A recent blip in form will worry Los Angeles, and yet another derby defeat will certainly sting, but the benefit of home advantage and their opponents' leaky defence should help them secure maximum points on Saturday. Able to produce goals from a variety of sources, the hosts should score more than once and reaffirm their grip on first place in the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
66.33% ( -0.63) | 18.88% ( 0.41) | 14.79% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( -1.49) | 38.25% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( -1.61) | 60.53% ( 1.61) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.28% ( -0.58) | 10.72% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.35% ( -1.3) | 34.65% ( 1.3) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( -0.65) | 38.51% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.63) | 75.26% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.48% Total : 66.32% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.88% | 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.79% |
