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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Houston

Vela (8' pen., 45+4' pen.), Hollingshead (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baird (24')
Dorsey (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 3-1 New England
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Houston Dynamo

 LA have more wins at home than any side in MLS this season, while Orange Crush have the third-fewest road victories in the Western Conference. Besides that, Houston do not have the individual quality to handle LAFC over 90 minutes, so expect them to hang back and try to make the score respectable, while we anticipate the Black and Gold will find a breakthrough eventually. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
73.52% (0.46299999999999 0.46) 15.76% (-0.288 -0.29) 10.71% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.72% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (0.899 0.9)33.58% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (1.016 1.02)55.39% (-1.018 -1.02)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.15% (0.312 0.31)7.84% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.19% (0.78999999999999 0.79)27.8% (-0.791 -0.79)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29% (0.306 0.31)41.7% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (0.267 0.27)78.18% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 73.52%
    Houston Dynamo 10.71%
    Draw 15.76%
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-0 @ 10.59% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.72% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 5.01% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.91% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.55% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.07 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.056 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.08% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 73.52%
1-1 @ 7.28% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 2.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 10.71%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Houston

Los Angeles FC
81.5%
Draw
3.7%
Houston Dynamo
14.8%
27
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Los Angeles
Ferreira (13' pen.), Dorsey (75')
Arango (19')
Sanchez (11')
Jun 20, 2021 4am
Los Angeles
1-1
Houston
Cifuentes (50')
Urruti (58')
Parker (17'), Vera (30'), Picault (71')
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
Houston
1-1
Los Angeles
Pasher (57')
Baird (55')
Murillo (29')
Oct 29, 2020 2.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Houston
Rossi (9'), Segura (22')
Segura (32'), Cifuentes (84'), Blessing (85')
Lassiter (46')
Vera (33'), Quintero (72'), Garcia (90')
Vera (59')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Houston
P-P
Los Angeles
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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