Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.