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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
New York City

Montreal
0 - 0
NY City


Johnston (35'), Waterman (53')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: DC United 1-2 Montreal
Sunday, July 24 at 1am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-2 New York City FC

 If you are going off sheer name recognition and reputation, no Castellanos should make the Montreal backline feel a lot better about themselves, but the fact is that NYCFC have quality players all over the field who can win matches. Defensively speaking, Montreal still have not sorted out their issues, and we expect the quality of the reigning champs will be enough to earn them another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 37.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
37.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 24.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 37.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.09% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (0.051000000000002 0.05)45.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (0.046999999999997 0.05)67.57% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.022000000000006 0.02)24.01% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.029000000000003 0.03)58.26% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.031999999999996 0.03)23.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.62% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 37.12%
    New York City FC 37.97%
    Draw 24.9%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.32%
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 37.97%

How you voted: Montreal vs NY City

CF Montreal
30.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
NY City
4-1
Montreal
Callens (7'), Rodriguez (20'), Magno (64'), Andrade (83')
Morales (22')
Brault-Guillard (52')
Miljevic (36')
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Montreal
Tajouri (29')
Chanot (62')

Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')
Jul 8, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
2-1
NY City
Toye (43' pen.), Quioto (73')
Brault-Guillard (57')
Parks (29')
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Montreal
Medina (68'), Moralez (83'), Rocha (86')
Tinnerholm (68'), Matarrita (89'), (90+1')
Quioto (89')
(90')
Sep 12, 2020 12am
Montreal
P-P
NY City
rhs 2.0
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