We said: CF Montreal 1-2 New York City FC
If you are going off sheer name recognition and reputation, no Castellanos should make the Montreal backline feel a lot better about themselves, but the fact is that NYCFC have quality players all over the field who can win matches.
Defensively speaking, Montreal still have not sorted out their issues, and we expect the quality of the reigning champs will be enough to earn them another three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 37.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).