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Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2022 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
Montreal Impact

LA Galaxy
4 - 0
Montreal

Hernandez (8'), Joveljic (45+4' pen.), Raveloson (60', 79')
Delgado (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Piette (38'), Miljevic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Montreal
Thursday, June 30 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 CF Montreal

 It may be the warm climate of California or some psychological issue, but Montreal have struggled with the playing surfaces and conditions in the City of Angeles, failing to beat either LA squad away from home. Their leaky defence still needs work, but we anticipate that the Galaxy's attacking quality will make up for those shortcomings on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawCF Montreal
53.21% (0.056000000000004 0.06) 23.52% (0.206 0.21) 23.27% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.997 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-1.172 -1.17)46.11% (1.171 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-1.118 -1.12)68.41% (1.116 1.12)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.408 -0.41)17.28% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)47.61% (0.719 0.72)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (-0.875 -0.88)33.97% (0.874 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (-0.957 -0.96)70.65% (0.956 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 53.21%
    CF Montreal 23.27%
    Draw 23.51%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.363 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.27%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Montreal

Los Angeles Galaxy
37.1%
Draw
40.0%
CF Montreal
22.9%
35
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2019 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Montreal
Ibrahimovic (31'), Uriel (50')
dos Santos (29')
Lappalainen (48')
May 21, 2018 8pm
Montreal
0-1
LA Galaxy

Petrasso (41'), Donadel (68'), Raitala (71')
Kamara (75')
Lletget (22'), Kitchen (37'), Bingham (87')
Ibrahimovic (41')
Apr 8, 2017 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-0
Montreal
Alessandrini (15'), Jones (74')
Pedro (54')

Jean-Yves Tabla (64')
Donadel (44')
May 29, 2016 1am
Montreal
3-2
LA Galaxy
Piatti (26'), Ontivero (56'), Drogba (94')
Bernier (68'), Drogba (95')
Dos Santos (8'), Magee (58')
Gordon (92'), Steres (94')
Sep 13, 2015 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-0
Montreal

Reo-Coker (37'), Romero (52')
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