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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Nissan Stadium
Portland Timbers

Nashville
2 - 2
Portland

Davis (19'), Williams (57')
Zimmerman (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Asprilla (64' pen.), Niezgoda (70')
Ayala (29'), McGraw (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Portland Timbers

These are two highly experienced teams, capable of playing with a solid and compact shape, while they have both improved defensively, making for what we anticipate will be a tough match for either side to find enough space in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
55.14% (1.321 1.32) 23.62% (-0.359 -0.36) 21.23% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (0.4 0.4)48.75% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (0.361 0.36)70.86% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (0.636 0.64)17.54% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (1.098 1.1)48.07% (-1.101 -1.1)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (-0.718 -0.72)37.37% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (-0.71 -0.71)74.15% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.14%
    Portland Timbers 21.23%
    Draw 23.62%
Nashville SCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.245 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.114 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 55.14%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Nashville vs Portland

Nashville SC
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Portland Timbers
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2020 12am
Mar 8, 2020 11pm
Portland
1-0
Nashville
Valeri (12')
Mabiala (5'), Chara (84'), Duvall (90')

Lovitz (29')
rhs 2.0
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