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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Portland Timbers

Earthquakes
3 - 2
Portland

Yueill (31'), Monteiro (44', 80')
Remedi (59'), Lopez (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paredes (18'), Tuiloma (56')
Zuparic (36'), Rasmussen (70'), Williamson (90+5')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: LA Galaxy vs. Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
60.5% (0.366 0.37) 21.07% (-0.183 -0.18) 18.43% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (0.535 0.54)41.57% (-0.534 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (0.538 0.54)63.96% (-0.538 -0.54)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (0.28 0.28)13.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84% (0.562 0.56)40.16% (-0.561 -0.56)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.115 0.12)36.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.12 0.12)72.93% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 60.5%
    Portland Timbers 18.43%
    Draw 21.07%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.43%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Portland
2-0
Earthquakes
Chara (34'), Asprilla (55')
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')

Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
Portland
1-1
Earthquakes
Mora (45+6')
van Rankin (29'), Williamson (85'), Chara (90+2'), Blanco (90+6'), Mabiala (90+10')
Chara (90+3')
Lopez (24')
Salinas (90+6'), Cardoso (90+8'), Lopez (90+9')
May 16, 2021 3am
Oct 12, 2020 3am
Portland
3-0
Earthquakes
Niezgoda (46', 52'), Mora (86')
Williamson (18'), Farfan (29')

Beason (69'), Rios (79')
Sep 20, 2020 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-6
Portland
Fierro (44')
Lima (14'), Jungwirth (49')
Valeri (25' pen., 57'), Ebobisse (27'), Chara (70'), Cascante (85'), Niezgoda (87')
Conechny (29')
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